BreakoutTrendFollowingINFO:
The "BreakoutTrendFollowing" indicator is a comprehensive trading system designed for trend-following in various market environments. It combines multiple technical indicators, including Moving Averages (MA), MACD, and RSI,
along with volume analysis and breakout detection from consolidation, to identify potential entry points in trending markets. This strategy is particularly effective for assets that exhibit strong trends and significant price movements.
Note that using the consolidation filter reduces the amount of entries the strategy detects significantly, and needs to be used if we want to have an increased confidence in the trend via breakout.
However, the strategy can be easily transformed to various only trend-following strategies, by applying different filters and configurations.
The indicator can be used to connect to the Signal input of the TTS (TempalteTradingStrategy) by jason5480 in order to backtest it, thus effectively turning it into a strategy (instructions below in TTS CONNECTIVITY section)
DETAILS:
The strategy's core is built upon several key components:
Moving Average (MA): Used to determine the general trend direction. The strategy checks if the price is above the selected MA type and length.
MACD Filter: Analyzes the relationship between two moving averages to confirm the trend's momentum.
Consolidation Detection: Identifies periods of price consolidation and triggers trades on breakouts from these ranges.
Volume Analysis: Assesses trading volume to confirm the strength and validity of the breakout.
RSI: Used to avoid overbought conditions, ensuring trades are entered in favorable market situations.
Wick filters: make sure there is not a long wick that indicates selling pressure from above
The strategy generates buy signals when several conditions are met concurrently (each one of them can be individually enabled/disabled)"
The price is above the selected MA.
A breakout occurs from a configurable consolidation range.
The MACD line is above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum.
The RSI is below the overbought threshold.
There's an increase in trading volume, confirming the breakout's strength.
Currently the strategy fires SL signals, as the approach is to check for loss of momentum - i.e. crossunder of the MACD line and signal line, but that is to everyone to determine the exit conditions.
The buy and SL signals are set on the chart using green or orange triangles on the below/above the price action.
SETTINGS:
Users can customize various parameters, including MA type and period, MACD settings, consolidation length, and volume increase percentage. The strategy is equipped with alert conditions for both entry (buy signals) and exit (set stop loss) points, facilitating both manual and automated trading.
Each one of the technical indicators, as well as the consilidation range and breakout/wick settings can be configured and enabled/disabled individually.
Please thoroughly review the available settings of the script, but here is an outline of the most important ones:
Use bar wicks (instead of open/close) - the ref_high/low will be taken based on the bar wicks, rather than the open/close when determining the breakout and MA
Enter position only on green candles - additional filters to make sure that we enter only on strong momentum
MA Filter: (enable, source, type, length) - general settings for MA filter to be checked against the stock price (close or upper wick)
MACD Filter: (enable, source, Osc MA type, Signal MA type, Fast MA length, Slow MA length, Low MACD Hist) - detailed settings for fine MACD tuning
Consolidation:
Consolidation Type: we have two different ways of detecting the consolidation, note the types below.
CONSOLIDATION_BASIC - consolidation areas by looking for the pivot point of a trend and counts the number of bars that have not broken the consolidation high/low levels.
CONSOLIDATIO_RANGE_PERCENT - identifies consolidation by comparing the range between the highest and lowest price points over a specified period.
So in summary the CONSOLIDATIO_RANGE_PERCENT uses a percentage-based range to define consolidation, while CONSOLIDATION_BASIC uses a count of bars within a high-low range to establish consolidation.
Thus the former is more focused on the tightness of the price range, whereas the latter emphasizes the duration of the consolidation phase.
The CONSOLIDATIO_RANGE_PERCENT might be more sensitive to recent price movements and suitable for shorter-term analysis, while CONSOLIDATION_BASIC could be better for identifying longer-term consolidation patterns.
Min consolidation length - applicable for CONSOLIDATION_BASIC case, the min number of bars for the price to be in the range to consider consolidation
Consolidation Loopback period - applicable for CONSOLIDATION_BASIC case, the loopback number of bars to look for consolidation
Consolidation Range percent - applicable for CONSOLIDATIO_RANGE_PERCENT, the percent between the high and low in the range to consider consolidation
Plot consolidation - enables plotting of the consolidation (only for debug purposes)
Breakout: (enable, low, high) - the definition of the breakout from the previous consolidation range, the price should be between to determine the breakout as successfull
Upper wick: (enable, percent) - defines the percent of the upper wick compared to the whole candle to allow breakout (if the wick is too big part of the candle we can consider entering the position riskier)
RSI: (enable, length, overbought) - general settings for RSI TA
Volume (enbale, percentage increase, average volume filter en, loopback bars) - percentage of increase of the volume to consider for a breakout. There are two modes - percentage increase compared to the previous bar, or percentage against the average volume for the last loopback bars.
Note that there are many different configuration that you can play with, and I believe this is the strength of the strategy, as it can provide a single solution for different cases and scenarios.
My advice is to try and play with the different options for different markets based on the approach you want to implement and try turning features on/off and tuning them further.
TTS SETTINGS (NEEDED IF USED TO BACKTEST WITH TTS):
The TempalteTradingStrategy is a strategy script developed in Pine by jason5480, which I recommend for quick turn-around of testing different ideas on a proven and tested framework
I cannot give enough credit to the developer for the efforts put in building of the infrastructure, so I advice everyone that wants to use it first to get familiar with the concept and by checking
by checking jason5480's profile www.tradingview.com
The TTS itself is extremely functional and have a lot of properties, so its functionality is beyond the scope of the current script -
Again, I strongly recommend to be thoroughly explored by everyone that plans on using it.
In the nutshell it is a script that can be feed with buy/sell signals from an external indicator script and based on many configuration options it can determine how to execute the trades.
The TTS has many settings that can be applied, so below I will cover only the ones that differ from the default ones, at least according to my testing - do your own research, you may find something even better :)
The current/latest version that I've been using as of writing and testing this script is TTSv48
Settings which differ from the default ones:
Deal Conditions Mode - External (take enter/exit conditions from an external script)
🔌Signal 🛈➡ - BreakoutTrendFollowing: 🔌Signal to TTS (this is the output from the indicator script, according to the TTS convention)
Order Type - STOP (perform stop order)
Distance Method - HHLL (HigherHighLowerLow - in order to set the SL according to the strategy definition from above)
The next are just personal preferences, you can feel free to experiment according to your trading style
Take Profit Targets - 0 (either 100% in or out, no incremental stepping in or out of positions)
Dist Mul|Len Long/Short- 10 (make sure that we don't close on profitable trades by any reason)
Quantity Method - EQUITY (personal backtesting preference is to consider each backtest as a separate portfolio, so determine the position size by 100% of the allocated equity size)
Equity % - 100 (note above)
스크립트에서 "Automated Trading"에 대해 찾기
Dual_MACD_trendingINFO:
This indicator is useful for trending assets, as my preference is for low-frequency trading, thus using BTCUSD on 1D/1W chart
In the current implementation I find two possible use cases for the indicator:
- as a stand-alone indicator on the chart which can also fire alerts that can help to determine if we want to manually enter/exit trades based on the signals from it (1D/1W is good for non-automated trading)
- can be used to connect to the Signal input of the TTS (TempalteTradingStrategy) by jason5480 in order to backtest it, thus effectively turning it into a strategy (instructions below in TTS CONNECTIVITY section)
Trading period can be selected from the indicator itself to limit to more interesting periods.
Arrow indications are drawn on the chart to indicate the trading conditions met in the script - light green for HTF crossover, dark green for LTF crossover and orange for LTF crossunder.
Note that the indicator performs best in trending assets and markets, and it is advisable to use additional indicators to filter the trading conditions when market/asset is expected to move sideways.
DETAILS:
It uses a couple of MACD indicators - one from the current timeframe and one from a higher timeframe, as the crossover/crossunder cases of the MACD line and the signal line indicate the potential entry/exit points.
The strategy has the following flow:
- If the weekly MACD is positive (MACD line is over the signal line) we have a trading window.
- If we have a trading window, we buy when the daily macd line crosses AND closes above the signal line.
- If we are in a position, we await the daily MACD to cross AND close under the signal line, and only then place a stop loss under the wick of that closing candle.
The user can select both the higher (HTF) and lower (LTF) timeframes. Preferably the lower timeframe should be the one that the Chart is on for better visualization.
If one to decide to use the indicator as a strategy, it implements the following buy and sell criterias, which are feed to the TTS, but can be also manually managed via adding alerts from this indicator.
Since usually the LTF is preceeding the crossover compared to the HTF, then my interpretation of the strategy and flow that it follows is allowing two different ways to enter a trade:
- crossover (and bar close) of the macd over the signal line in the HIGH TIMEFRAME (no need to look at the LOWER TIMEFRMAE)
- crossover (and bar close) of the macd over the signal line in the LOW TIMEFRAME, as in this case we need to check also that the macd line is over the signal line for the HIGH TIMEFRAME as well (like a regime filter)
The exit of the trade is based on the lower timeframe MACD only, as we create a stop loss equal to the lower wick of the bar, once the macd line crosses below the signal line on that timeframe
SETTINGS:
All of the indicator's settings are for the vanilla/general case.
User can set all of the MACD parameters for both the higher and lower (current) timeframes, currently left to default of the MACD stand-alone indicator itself.
The start-end date is a time filter that can be extermely usefull when backtesting different time periods.
TTS SETTINGS (NEEDED IF USED TO BACKTEST WITH TTS)
The TempalteTradingStrategy is a strategy script developed in Pine by jason5480, which I recommend for quick turn-around of testing different ideas on a proven and tested framework
I cannot give enough credit to the developer for the efforts put in building of the infrastructure, so I advice everyone that wants to use it first to get familiar with the concept and by checking
by checking jason5480's profile www.tradingview.com
The TTS itself is extremely functional and have a lot of properties, so its functionality is beyond the scope of the current script -
Again, I strongly recommend to be thoroughly epxlored by everyone that plans on using it.
In the nutshell it is a script that can be feed with buy/sell signals from an external indicator script and based on many configuration options it can determine how to execute the trades.
The TTS has many settings that can be applied, so below I will cover only the ones that differ from the default ones, at least according to my testing - do your own research, you may find something even better :)
The current/latest version that I've been using as of writing and testing this script is TTSv48
Settings which differ from the default ones:
- from - False (time filter is from the indicator script itself)
- Deal Conditions Mode - External (take enter/exit conditions from an external script)
- 🔌Signal 🛈➡ - Dual_MACD: 🔌Signal to TTSv48 (this is the output from the indicator script, according to the TTS convention)
- Sat/Sun - true (for crypto, in order to trade 24/7)
- Order Type - STOP (perform stop order)
- Distance Method - HHLL (HigherHighLowerLow - in order to set the SL according to the strategy definition from above)
The next are just personal preferenes, you can feel free to experiment according to your trading style
- Take Profit Targets - 0 (either 100% in or out, no incremental stepping in or out of positions)
- Dist Mul|Len Long/Short- 10 (make sure that we don't close on profitable trades by any reason)
- Quantity Method - EQUITY (personal backtesting preference is to consider each backtest as a separate portfolio, so determine the position size by 100% of the allocated equity size)
- Equity % - 100 (note above)
EXAMPLES:
If used as a stand-alone indicator, the green arrows on the bottom will represent:
- light green - MACD line crossover signal line in the HTF
- darker green - MACD line crossover signal line in the LTF
- orange - MACD line crossunder signal line in the LTF
I recommend enabling the alerts from the script to cover those cases.
If used as an input to the TTS, we'll get more decorations on the chart from the TTS itself.
In the example below we open a trade on the next day of LTF crossover, then a few days later a crossunder in the LTF occurs, so we set a SL at the low of the wick of this day. Few days later the price doesn't recover and hits that SL, so the position is closed.
Smart Money Breakouts [ChartPrime]The " Smart Money Breakouts " indicator is designed to identify breakouts based on changes in character (CHOCH) or breaks of structure (BOS) patterns, facilitating automated trading with user-defined Take Profit (TP) level.
the indicator incorporates essential elements such as volume analysis and a data table to assist traders in optimizing their strategies.
🔸 Breakout Detection:
The indicator scans price movements for "Change in Character" (CHOCH) and "Break of Structure" (BOS) patterns, signaling potential breakout opportunities in the market.
🔸User-Defined TP :
Traders can customize the Take Profit (TP) through the indicator settings, with these levels dynamically calculated based on the Average True Range (ATR). This allows for precise risk management and profit targets that adapt to market volatility.
🔸 Volume Analysis and Trade Direction Specific Analysis:
The indicator includes a volume checker that provides valuable insights into the strength of the breakout, taking into account trade direction.
🔸If the volume label is red and the trade is long, it suggests a higher likelihood of hitting the Stop Loss (SL).
🔸If the volume label is green and the trade is long, it indicates a higher probability of hitting the Take Profit (TP).
🔸For short trades, a red volume label suggests a higher likelihood of hitting TP, while a green label suggests a higher likelihood of hitting SL.
🔸A yellow volume label suggests that the volume is inconclusive, neither favoring bullish nor bearish movements.
🔸Data Table:
The indicator features a data table that keeps track of the number of winning and losing trades for specific timeframes or configurations.
This table serves as a valuable tool for traders to analyze performance and discover optimal settings and timeframes.
The "Smart Money Breakouts" indicator provides traders with a comprehensive solution for breakout trading, combining technical analysis of changes in character and breaks of structure, volume insights, and performance tracking while dynamically adjusting TP and SL levels based on market volatility through the ATR.
Bollinger Bands, RSI, and MA StrategyThe "Bollinger Bands, RSI and MA Strategy" is a trend-following strategy that combines the Bollinger Bands indicator, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), and a moving average (MA). It aims to identify potential entry and exit points in the market based on price volatility, momentum, and trend.
The strategy uses two Bollinger Bands with different standard deviations to create price channels. The default settings for the Bollinger Bands are a length of 20 periods and a standard deviation of 2.0. The upper and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands serve as dynamic resistance and support levels, respectively.
The RSI indicator is employed to gauge the strength of price momentum.
The strategy also incorporates a 50-period moving average (MA) to help identify the overall trend direction. When the price is above the MA, it suggests an uptrend, and when the price is below the MA, it suggests a downtrend.
The entry conditions for long trades are when the RSI is above the overbought level and there is no contraction in the Bollinger Bands. For short trades, the entry conditions are when the RSI is below the oversold level and there is no contraction in the Bollinger Bands.
The exit conditions for long trades are when the RSI drops below the overbought level or when the price closes below the 50-period MA.
For short trades, the exit conditions are when the RSI goes above the oversold level or when the price closes above the 50-period MA.
The strategy generates alerts for potential long and short entry signals, as well as for exit signals when the specified conditions are met. These alerts can be used to receive notifications or take further actions, such as placing trades manually or using automated trading systems.
It is important to note that this strategy serves as a starting point and should be thoroughly backtested and validated with historical data before applying it to live trading. Additionally, it is recommended to consider risk management techniques, including setting appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels, to effectively manage trades.
Channels Strategy [Dimkud]Channels trading Strategy. Based on "Channels Strategy" by JoseMetal.
To the original strategy added additional options and filters : Static SL/TP in percents (%), time delay between orders, ATR Filter, second Keltner Channel (Multi TimeFrame).
Interface translated to English.
Were good backtest results on many crypto tokens on 15m - 45m - 1h periods.
Mostly with configuration: Keltner Channel (optimise parameters for every token) + Static SL/TP (optimise values for every token) + "Enter Condition" = "Wick out of band".
The better is to optimise paramaters separately for Short and Long trading. And run two separate bots (in settings enable only Long or only Short.)
Tested on real automated trading on few online bot platforms. (3comm, revenuebot, veles).
Later I will make tutorial how to connect strategy to these platforms or contact me if you need help.
Assassin's Grid
Introduction: Are you a fan of automated grid-based trading and holding onto your crypto assets like they're the last Snickers bar in the world? If so, this Pine script could be your new best friend!
Grid Trading Genius: The script uses some seriously advanced grid trading techniques to automatically place orders at different price levels, creating a mesh of positions that move with the market like a well-oiled machine. This strategy can be great for traders who are willing to sit back and let their positions grow like a fine wine over time.
Optimization Features: The script comes loaded with all sorts of features and tools to help traders optimize their grid positions, like position exits and custom alerts for creating limit and market orders. This helps keep traders in the loop and allows them to take action as needed, like a ninja in the night.
Unique Twists: One of the unique features of this script is the option to choose between normal or incremental entry steps in a 1,2,3,... ratio. By choosing incremental entries, traders can potentially improve their average price and increase their potential profits like a boss. Just keep in mind that this script doesn't have a stop loss feature, but it does include the option to sell without profit on the final entry or on all entries if desired. Additionally, the script is always open to improvement and any ideas for improving it are welcome, like a blank canvas.
Conclusion: If you love automated trading and have the patience and determination to stick to a solid strategy, this Pine script could be a great fit for you. It's suitable for traders who are comfortable with more complex trading approaches and are willing to put in the time and effort to learn and master the script's various features and techniques, like a Jedi Knight
BB-EMA-MAWikipedia: Bollinger Bands are a type of statistical chart characterizing the prices and volatility over time of a financial instrument or commodity, using a formulaic method propounded by John Bollinger in the 1980s. Financial traders employ these charts as a methodical tool to inform trading decisions, control automated trading systems, or as a component of technical analysis. Bollinger Bands display a graphical band (the envelope maximum and minimum of moving averages, similar to Keltner or Donchian channels) and volatility (expressed by the width of the envelope) in one two-dimensional chart.
If you set Type = 2 then it will use EMA average for Bollinger bands .
If you set Type = 1 then it will use MA average for Bollinger bands .
Default settings is moving average with period 50
When price move to standard Deviation (std) +2 and std +3 is signal for sell ( selling zone)
When price move to standard Deviation (std) -2 and std -3 is signal for sell ( buying zone)
Ehlers Two-Pole Predictor [Loxx]Ehlers Two-Pole Predictor is a new indicator by John Ehlers . The translation of this indicator into PineScript™ is a collaborative effort between @cheatcountry and I.
The following is an excerpt from "PREDICTION" , by John Ehlers
Niels Bohr said “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.”. Actually, prediction is pretty easy in the context of technical analysis . All you have to do is to assume the market will behave in the immediate future just as it has behaved in the immediate past. In this article we will explore several different techniques that put the philosophy into practice.
LINEAR EXTRAPOLATION
Linear extrapolation takes the philosophical approach quite literally. Linear extrapolation simply takes the difference of the last two bars and adds that difference to the value of the last bar to form the prediction for the next bar. The prediction is extended further into the future by taking the last predicted value as real data and repeating the process of adding the most recent difference to it. The process can be repeated over and over to extend the prediction even further.
Linear extrapolation is an FIR filter, meaning it depends only on the data input rather than on a previously computed value. Since the output of an FIR filter depends only on delayed input data, the resulting lag is somewhat like the delay of water coming out the end of a hose after it supplied at the input. Linear extrapolation has a negative group delay at the longer cycle periods of the spectrum, which means water comes out the end of the hose before it is applied at the input. Of course the analogy breaks down, but it is fun to think of it that way. As shown in Figure 1, the actual group delay varies across the spectrum. For frequency components less than .167 (i.e. a period of 6 bars) the group delay is negative, meaning the filter is predictive. However, the filter has a positive group delay for cycle components whose periods are shorter than 6 bars.
Figure 1
Here’s the practical ramification of the group delay: Suppose we are projecting the prediction 5 bars into the future. This is fine as long as the market is continued to trend up in the same direction. But, when we get a reversal, the prediction continues upward for 5 bars after the reversal. That is, the prediction fails just when you need it the most. An interesting phenomenon is that, regardless of how far the extrapolation extends into the future, the prediction will always cross the signal at the same spot along the time axis. The result is that the prediction will have an overshoot. The amplitude of the overshoot is a function of how far the extrapolation has been carried into the future.
But the overshoot gives us an opportunity to make a useful prediction at the cyclic turning point of band limited signals (i.e. oscillators having a zero mean). If we reduce the overshoot by reducing the gain of the prediction, we then also move the crossing of the prediction and the original signal into the future. Since the group delay varies across the spectrum, the effect will be less effective for the shorter cycles in the data. Nonetheless, the technique is effective for both discretionary trading and automated trading in the majority of cases.
EXPLORING THE CODE
Before we predict, we need to create a band limited indicator from which to make the prediction. I have selected a “roofing filter” consisting of a High Pass Filter followed by a Low Pass Filter. The tunable parameter of the High Pass Filter is HPPeriod. Think of it as a “stone wall filter” where cycle period components longer than HPPeriod are completely rejected and cycle period components shorter than HPPeriod are passed without attenuation. If HPPeriod is set to be a large number (e.g. 250) the indicator will tend to look more like a trending indicator. If HPPeriod is set to be a smaller number (e.g. 20) the indicator will look more like a cycling indicator. The Low Pass Filter is a Hann Windowed FIR filter whose tunable parameter is LPPeriod. Think of it as a “stone wall filter” where cycle period components shorter than LPPeriod are completely rejected and cycle period components longer than LPPeriod are passed without attenuation. The purpose of the Low Pass filter is to smooth the signal. Thus, the combination of these two filters forms a “roofing filter”, named Filt, that passes spectrum components between LPPeriod and HPPeriod.
Since working into the future is not allowed in EasyLanguage variables, we need to convert the Filt variable to the data array XX. The data array is first filled with real data out to “Length”. I selected Length = 10 simply to have a convenient starting point for the prediction. The next block of code is the prediction into the future. It is easiest to understand if we consider the case where count = 0. Then, in English, the next value of the data array is equal to the current value of the data array plus the difference between the current value and the previous value. That makes the prediction one bar into the future. The process is repeated for each value of count until predictions up to 10 bars in the future are contained in the data array. Next, the selected prediction is converted from the data array to the variable “Prediction”. Filt is plotted in Red and Prediction is plotted in yellow.
The Predict Extrapolation indicator is shown below for the Emini S&P Futures contract using the default input parameters. Filt is plotted in red and Predict is plotted in yellow. The crossings of the Predict and Filt lines provide reliable buy and sell timing signals. There is some overshoot for the shorter cycle periods, for example in February and March 2021, but the only effect is a late timing signal. Further reducing the gain and/or reducing the BarsFwd inputs would provide better timing signals during this period.
Figure 2. Predict Extrapolation Provides Reliable Timing Signals
I have experimented with other FIR filters for predictions, but found none that had a significant advantage over linear extrapolation.
MESA
MESA is an acronym for Maximum Entropy Spectral Analysis. Conceptually, it removes spectral components until the residual is left with maximum entropy. It does this by forming an all-pole filter whose order is determined by the selected number of coefficients. It maximally addresses the data within the selected window and ignores all other data. Its resolution is determined only by the number of filter coefficients selected. Since the resulting filter is an IIR filter, a prediction can be formed simply by convolving the filter coefficients with the data. MESA is one of the few, if not the only way to practically determine the coefficients of a higher order IIR filter. Discussion of MESA is beyond the scope of this article.
TWO POLE IIR FILTER
While the coefficients of a higher order IIR filter are difficult to compute without MESA, it is a relatively simple matter to compute the coefficients of a two pole IIR filter.
(Skip this paragraph if you don’t care about DSP) We can locate the conjugate pole positions parametrically in the Z plane in polar coordinates. Let the radius be QQ and the principal angle be 360 / P2Period. The first order component is 2*QQ*Cosine(360 / P2Period) and the second order component is just QQ2. Therefore, the transfer response becomes:
H(z) = 1 / (1 - 2*QQ*Cosine(360 / P2Period)*Z-1 + QQ2*Z-2)
By mixing notation we can easily convert the transfer response to code.
Output / Input = 1 / (1 - 2*QQ*Cosine(360 / P2Period)* + QQ2* )
Output - 2*QQ*Cosine(360 / P2Period)*Output + QQ2*Output = Input
Output = Input + 2*QQ*Cosine(360 / P2Period)*Output - QQ2*Output
The Two Pole Predictor starts by computing the same “roofing filter” design as described for the Linear Extrapolation Predictor. The HPPeriod and LPPeriod inputs adjust the roofing filter to obtain the desired appearance of an indicator. Since EasyLanguage variables cannot be extended into the future, the prediction process starts by loading the XX data array with indicator data up to the value of Length. I selected Length = 10 simply to have a convenient place from which to start the prediction. The coefficients are computed parametrically from the conjugate pole positions and are normalized to their sum so the IIR filter will have unity gain at zero frequency.
The prediction is formed by convolving the IIR filter coefficients with the historical data. It is easiest to see for the case where count = 0. This is the initial prediction. In this case the new value of the XX array is formed by successively summing the product of each filter coefficient with its respective historical data sample. This process is significantly different from linear extrapolation because second order curvature is introduced into the prediction rather than being strictly linear. Further, the prediction is adaptive to market conditions because the degree of curvature depends on recent historical data. The prediction in the data array is converted to a variable by selecting the BarsFwd value. The prediction is then plotted in yellow, and is compared to the indicator plotted in red.
The Predict 2 Pole indicator is shown above being applied to the Emini S&P Futures contract for most of 2021. The default parameters for the roofing filter and predictor were used. By comparison to the Linear Extrapolation prediction of Figure 2, the Predict 2 Pole indicator has a more consistent prediction. For example, there is little or no overshoot in February or March while still giving good predictions in April and May.
Input parameters can be varied to adjust the appearance of the prediction. You will find that the indicator is relatively insensitive to the BarsFwd input. The P2Period parameter primarily controls the gain of the prediction and the QQ parameter primarily controls the amount of prediction lead during trending sections of the indicator.
TAKEAWAYS
1. A more or less universal band limited “roofing filter” indicator was used to demonstrate the predictors. The HPPeriod input parameter is used to control whether the indicator looks more like a trend indicator or more like a cycle indicator. The LPPeriod input parameter is used to control the smoothness of the indicator.
2. A linear extrapolation predictor is formed by adding the difference of the two most recent data bars to the value of the last data bar. The result is considered to be a real data point and the process is repeated to extend the prediction into the future. This is an FIR filter having a one bar negative group delay at zero frequency, but the group delay is not constant across the spectrum. This variable group delay causes the linear extrapolation prediction to be inconsistent across a range of market conditions.
3. The degree of prediction by linear extrapolation can be controlled by varying the gain of the prediction to reduce the overshoot to be about the same amplitude as the peak swing of the indicator.
4. I was unable to experimentally derive a higher order FIR filter predictor that had advantages over the simple linear extrapolation predictor.
5. A Two Pole IIR predictor can be created by parametrically locating the conjugate pole positions.
6. The Two Pole predictor is a second order filter, which allows curvature into the prediction, thus mitigating overshoot. Further, the curvature is adaptive because the prediction depends on previously computed prediction values.
7. The Two Pole predictor is more consistent over a range of market conditions.
ADDITIONS
Loxx's Expanded source types:
Library for expanded source types:
Explanation for expanded source types:
Three different signal types: 1) Prediction/Filter crosses; 2) Prediction middle crosses; and, 3) Filter middle crosses.
Bar coloring to color trend.
Signals, both Long and Short.
Alerts, both Long and Short.
Ehlers Linear Extrapolation Predictor [Loxx]Ehlers Linear Extrapolation Predictor is a new indicator by John Ehlers. The translation of this indicator into PineScript™ is a collaborative effort between @cheatcountry and I.
The following is an excerpt from "PREDICTION" , by John Ehlers
Niels Bohr said “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.”. Actually, prediction is pretty easy in the context of technical analysis. All you have to do is to assume the market will behave in the immediate future just as it has behaved in the immediate past. In this article we will explore several different techniques that put the philosophy into practice.
LINEAR EXTRAPOLATION
Linear extrapolation takes the philosophical approach quite literally. Linear extrapolation simply takes the difference of the last two bars and adds that difference to the value of the last bar to form the prediction for the next bar. The prediction is extended further into the future by taking the last predicted value as real data and repeating the process of adding the most recent difference to it. The process can be repeated over and over to extend the prediction even further.
Linear extrapolation is an FIR filter, meaning it depends only on the data input rather than on a previously computed value. Since the output of an FIR filter depends only on delayed input data, the resulting lag is somewhat like the delay of water coming out the end of a hose after it supplied at the input. Linear extrapolation has a negative group delay at the longer cycle periods of the spectrum, which means water comes out the end of the hose before it is applied at the input. Of course the analogy breaks down, but it is fun to think of it that way. As shown in Figure 1, the actual group delay varies across the spectrum. For frequency components less than .167 (i.e. a period of 6 bars) the group delay is negative, meaning the filter is predictive. However, the filter has a positive group delay for cycle components whose periods are shorter than 6 bars.
Figure 1
Here’s the practical ramification of the group delay: Suppose we are projecting the prediction 5 bars into the future. This is fine as long as the market is continued to trend up in the same direction. But, when we get a reversal, the prediction continues upward for 5 bars after the reversal. That is, the prediction fails just when you need it the most. An interesting phenomenon is that, regardless of how far the extrapolation extends into the future, the prediction will always cross the signal at the same spot along the time axis. The result is that the prediction will have an overshoot. The amplitude of the overshoot is a function of how far the extrapolation has been carried into the future.
But the overshoot gives us an opportunity to make a useful prediction at the cyclic turning point of band limited signals (i.e. oscillators having a zero mean). If we reduce the overshoot by reducing the gain of the prediction, we then also move the crossing of the prediction and the original signal into the future. Since the group delay varies across the spectrum, the effect will be less effective for the shorter cycles in the data. Nonetheless, the technique is effective for both discretionary trading and automated trading in the majority of cases.
EXPLORING THE CODE
Before we predict, we need to create a band limited indicator from which to make the prediction. I have selected a “roofing filter” consisting of a High Pass Filter followed by a Low Pass Filter. The tunable parameter of the High Pass Filter is HPPeriod. Think of it as a “stone wall filter” where cycle period components longer than HPPeriod are completely rejected and cycle period components shorter than HPPeriod are passed without attenuation. If HPPeriod is set to be a large number (e.g. 250) the indicator will tend to look more like a trending indicator. If HPPeriod is set to be a smaller number (e.g. 20) the indicator will look more like a cycling indicator. The Low Pass Filter is a Hann Windowed FIR filter whose tunable parameter is LPPeriod. Think of it as a “stone wall filter” where cycle period components shorter than LPPeriod are completely rejected and cycle period components longer than LPPeriod are passed without attenuation. The purpose of the Low Pass filter is to smooth the signal. Thus, the combination of these two filters forms a “roofing filter”, named Filt, that passes spectrum components between LPPeriod and HPPeriod.
Since working into the future is not allowed in EasyLanguage variables, we need to convert the Filt variable to the data array XX . The data array is first filled with real data out to “Length”. I selected Length = 10 simply to have a convenient starting point for the prediction. The next block of code is the prediction into the future. It is easiest to understand if we consider the case where count = 0. Then, in English, the next value of the data array is equal to the current value of the data array plus the difference between the current value and the previous value. That makes the prediction one bar into the future. The process is repeated for each value of count until predictions up to 10 bars in the future are contained in the data array. Next, the selected prediction is converted from the data array to the variable “Prediction”. Filt is plotted in Red and Prediction is plotted in yellow.
The Predict Extrapolation indicator is shown above for the Emini S&P Futures contract using the default input parameters. Filt is plotted in red and Predict is plotted in yellow. The crossings of the Predict and Filt lines provide reliable buy and sell timing signals. There is some overshoot for the shorter cycle periods, for example in February and March 2021, but the only effect is a late timing signal. Further reducing the gain and/or reducing the BarsFwd inputs would provide better timing signals during this period.
ADDITIONS
Loxx's Expanded source types:
Library for expanded source types:
Explanation for expanded source types:
Three different signal types: 1) Prediction/Filter crosses; 2) Prediction middle crosses; and, 3) Filter middle crosses.
Bar coloring to color trend.
Signals, both Long and Short.
Alerts, both Long and Short.
Customizable Pivot Support/Resistance Zones [MyTradingCoder]This script uses the standard pivot-high/pivot-low built-in methods to identify pivot points on the chart as a base calculation for the zones. Rather than displaying basic lines, it displays a zone from the original pivot point to the closest part of the available body on the same candle. The script comes in handy by utilizing Pinescripts available input.source() function to allow for an external indicators output value to be used within the indicator. Make sure to read all of the TOOLTIPS in the indicator settings menu to get a full understanding of what each setting does, and how it can affect the results that end up on the chart.
By enabling the custom filter in the indicator settings, you will notice you have the ability to filter out zones using an external indicator such as an RSI. Maybe you only want zones to be calculated/drawn when the RSI is overbought or oversold, or maybe you only want the zones to calculate/draw if the Supertrend is green or red. The list of possible filters that you can implement is too many to count. Feel free to play around with the indicator however you like, and configure something that you find to be the most useful for your trading.
On top of everything listed above, the indicator has pre-programmed built-in alertconditions so that you can potentially automate trading, or get a notification to your cell phone when a zone is being touched/broken.
Customizable OCC Non Repainting Scalper Bot v7.0bThis strategy is intended to be used on an automated trading platform and should be run on a one minute chart for fastest confirmations and signal relay to crypto automation platform. The strategy has been modded to only go long at this time to focus on profitability for one direction. The open long and close long text fields allow you to use your own webhook message for this purpose.
I have spent quite a bit of time and I figured I would put it out to the community to share the work and also get some feedback.
Ok, so let me say that I have done absolutely everything I can to make the strategy not repaint while still maintaining it's profitability. It has been a challenge so I am publishing this to the community to help test this.
What I have observed: the strategy will not repaint in real time. That is, if you have the chart open and keep it open, the signals are the same as the ones that are sent out by the strategy. In certain cases, when I reload the chart- the signals might be off from what was sent. In some ways, that is repainting, but it is repainting based on losing the real time data and recalculating from a different set of bars- since I am running it on a one minute chart then the start becomes different when you refresh.
To address repainting while keeping the strategy calculating as quickly as possibly I have altered the logic in the following ways:
I have made an assumption which might not work for everyone- at the first tick of the next bar, you can almost safefly assume in crypto that if you are looking at the previous bar for information, the open of the current bar was the close of the previous bar. This for the most part holds true in crypto with good liquidity. If you are trading a pair that jumps around due to low volume- this might not be the strategy to use. I might publish a different version with a different logic.
I have altered the security repaint to use isbarconfirmed, so at the very end of the bar (as soon as the bar is confirmed), we recalculate to the higher time frames. So as soon as the data is available, it is at that point that we can then safely calculate higher time frames. This is unique and experimental, but seems to do well at creating good signals for entry.
I have employed my own intervals by utilizing the resolution as an integer (used by the previous authors)- but in this case, I use the interval to take a snapshot of the higher time frame. With open close cross, the different moving averages can cause the repainting as they change to show the exact point of the cross. The interval feature I created minimizes this by utilizing the previous bar info until the interval is closed and then we recalculate the variants. You can use the interval offset feature to denote which minute is the one that starts and ends the interval. So for instance, Trading View uses minue 1 and minute 31 for 30 minute intervals. If you offset your 30 minute interval would start on minute 16 and do its calculations based on the last 30 minutes,
As with most of my scripts, I have started using filters and a "show data" feature that will give you the ability to see the values of indicators that you cannot plot in the overlay. This allows you to figure out how to filter losing trades or market conditions.
I have also added a trailing stop and created a fixed stop loss as seems to perform better than the original occ strategy. The original one seemed to repaint enough that it would close too quickly and not give the posiition enough time to become profitable. In certain cases where there was a large move, it would perform well, but for the most part the trades would not close profitably even though the backtest said that it did - probably due to the delay in execution and pinescript not having a confirmation on what the actual position price was.
This is still in beta mode, so please forward test first and use at your own risk.
If you spot repaint issues, please send me a message and try to explain the situation.
Cipher Twister - Long and ShortINTRO / NOTES:
This script is based on Market Cipher B Oscillator by Falcon
The difference in this script is that only the useful points are printed on the indicator, namely Long and Short Trade Execution signals to be used by a bot, namely the PT Bot.
The script also differs from the original that it has been upgraded to Pinescript v4
This oscillator can be used with ALL time frames, but generally works the best on 15 minute and 1 hour charts on ANY market, no matter, stock, forex, crypto, spot, futures, derivatives, Nasdaq etc...
DEFINITIONS:
This oscillator forms the foundation of Buy and Exit of Long and Short Trades.
There are 2 'Red' Lines at the top of the channel and 2 Green Lines at the bottom of the channel.
These two channels are set at default to be +53 / -53 and +60 / -60 respectively. These two lines will serve as the threshold point if one is to make cautious trades only.
There is a center line which divides the Oscillator into two parts. Above the center line, the market is in over bought territory and Below the center line is in over sold territory.
'Red' dots are drawn by the indicator to represent a potential Short (or a signal to exit from a Long position)
'Green' dots are drawn by the indicator to represent a potential Long (or a signal to exit from a Short position)
The 'Red' and 'Green' dots are draw when a Cross between both wt1 & wt2 cross, thus providing a fantastic indication of potential trend reversal and entry/exit of a position.
STRATEGY NOTES:
The strategy to use this indicator with for realistic and proper results would be to use it with an automated Trading Bot such as Profit Trailer (PT-BOT)
You could use this strategy manually, however it would mean you would need to sit in front of the screen all day and night long and activate the trades immediately after the 'red'/'green' dots are drawn. Usually this will result in non-optimal entries and exits as well as loss on various instances when a 'red' and 'green' dot are printed close together (which is usually when the market goes into correction/consolidation) and slow entries/exits will result in a loss rather than a small profit or exit at BE (Break Even)
ACTUAL STRATEGY (For use with automated bot)
To be used in conjunction with Heikin Ashi Candles for added cautionary measures
For LONGs ONLY
--------------------
1/ When 'Green' dot is drawn, ACTIVATE Long Position
(Use 1.5% Risk Management for each trade)
(Use Lot size based on 1.5% risk management and xLeverage (if any))
2/ Make sure bot Opens an SL (Stop Loss) value based on 1.5% Risk Management
3/ When 'Red' dot is drawn, CLOSE Long Position.
*If you want to add extra caution to your trade, only activate the trade if the 'Green' dot is BELOW the 'Green' Markers
*For added caution, use color coded Heikin Ashi candles to 'confirm' Activation and Closing of a trade in the bot configuration
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For SHORTs ONLY
--------------------
1/ When 'Red' dot is drawn, ACTIVATE Short Position
(Use 1.5% Risk Management for each trade)
(Use Lot size based on 1.5% risk management and xLeverage (if any))
2/ Make sure bot Opens an SL (Stop Loss) value based on 1.5% Risk Management
3/ When 'Green' dot is drawn, CLOSE Short Position
*If you want to add extra caution to your trade, only activate the trade if the 'Red' dot is Above the Red Markers
*For added caution, use color coded Heikin Ashi candles to 'confirm' Activation and Closing of a trade in the bot configuration
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Supplementary Notes:
Make sure that your bot configuration will only activate ONE TRADE when the 'Green'/'Red' dot appears.
Occasionally during high volatility , 'red'/'green' dots will appear intermittently before remaining drawn, thus the oscillator 'redraws' the dots during market movement.
There will be times where occasionally a 'green' dot or a 'red' dot will appear, the trade will be opened, but the trade will fail due to the market manipulation (algorithm/market maker bots/fake volume etc), to wipe out those trading on derivatives and futures markets using leverage. Do not worry about this, no bot can make 100% wins, no strategy will achieve 100% win ratio and one necessarily doesn't need a high win ratio when using strict money management practices with your trading for SL and lot size.
If you use this method, you will see great results, but again I must stress, using this method with a fully automated bot is the only way to achieve proper results.
AlphaTrend For ProfitViewThis strategy is based on the AlphaTrend indicator by KivancOzbilgic A full description of this algorithm functionality may be found by clicking the linked image above.
Changes and/or additions:
It is now a backtestable strategy
Updated alert trigger logic
Easy integration with ProfitView to use this algorithm for automated trading
When you create an alert, and you are using ProfitView, select " alert() function calls only " as the condition option. If you would rather set your own custom alert message, select " Order fills only " instead.
There is a selectable setting in the options to trigger alert() function calls immediately, that you may use to see what text it will send.
Oversold RSI with Tight Stop-Loss Strategy (by Coinrule)KRAKEN:LINKUSD
This is one of the best strategies that can be used to get familiar with technical indicators and start to include them in your rules on Coinrule .
ENTRY
1. This trading system uses the RSI (Relative Strength Index) to anticipate good points to enter positions. RSI is a technical indicator frequently used in trading. It works by measuring the speed and change of price movements to determine whether a coin is oversold (indicating a good entry point) or overbought (indicating a point of exit/entry for a short position). The RSI oscillates between 0 and 100 and is traditionally considered overbought when over 70 and oversold when below 30.
2. To pick the right moment to buy, the strategy enters a trade when the RSI falls below 30 indicating the coin is oversold and primed for a trend reversal.
EXIT
The strategy then exits the position when the price appreciates 7% from the point of entry. The position also maintains a tight stop-loss and closes the position if the price depreciates 1% from the entry price. The idea behind this is to cut your losing trades fast and let your winners ride.
The best time frame for this strategy based on our back testing data is the daily. Shorter time frames can also work well on certain coins, however in our experience, the daily works best. Feel free to experiment with this script and test it on a variety of your coins! With our back testing data a trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account. The fee is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance, which is the largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume. In the example shown, this strategy made a handsome net profit of 52.6% on Chainlink with 66.67% of trades being profitable.
You can execute this strategy on your favorite exchanges with Coinrule .
Combo 2/20 EMA & Adaptive Price Zone This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal.
First strategy
This indicator plots 2/20 exponential moving average. For the Mov
Avg X 2/20 Indicator, the EMA bar will be painted when the Alert criteria is met.
Second strategy
The adaptive price zone (APZ) is a volatility-based technical indicator that helps investors
identify possible market turning points, which can be especially useful in a sideways-moving
market. It was created by technical analyst Lee Leibfarth in the article “Identify the
Turning Point: Trading With An Adaptive Price Zone,” which appeared in the September 2006 issue
of the journal Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities.
This indicator attempts to signal significant price movements by using a set of bands based on
short-term, double-smoothed exponential moving averages that lag only slightly behind price changes.
It can help short-term investors and day traders profit in volatile markets by signaling price
reversal points, which can indicate potentially lucrative times to buy or sell. The APZ can be
implemented as part of an automated trading system and can be applied to the charts of all tradeable assets.
WARNING:
- For purpose educate only
- This script to change bars colors.
RSI StrategyThis RSI strategy will allow you to go long when RSI is overbought and go short when RSI is oversold. You can also change the checked boxes to reverse this. Uncheck "Overbought Go Long & Oversold Go Short" and check "Overbought Go Short & Oversold Go Long" to use this reversed option.
You can also choose to use an ema filter as an additional qualifier for entry. Uncheck "No EMA Filter" and check "Use EMA Filter" if you want to use it.
Be sure to enter slippage and commission into the properties to give you realistic results.
I've also built in backtesting date ranges and the ability to trade only within certain times of day and have it close all trades at the end of that time frame. This is especially useful for day trading stocks. To specify a time from use the format 0930-1100 or whatever your trading hours will be. Check off "Enable Close Trade At End Of Time Frame" to close the trade at the end of your trading hours.
You can also specify a % based take profit and stop loss. Also keep in mind that the way this code is designed if you use the stop loss and/or take profit and it reaches either target and closes, then it will immediately re-enter if the condition for long or short entry is true.
Finally there's custom alert fields so you can send custom alert messages for strategy entry and exit for use with automated trading services. Simply enter your messages in the fields within the strategy properties and then put {{strategy.order.alert_message}} in your alert message body and it will dynamically pull in the appropriate message.
CCI StrategyThis CCI strategy will allow you to enter a long or short off a CCI zero line cross or control entries and exits from custom upper and lower band lengths. You can set a custom upper band which it will buy when it crosses up and then a custom upper band exit which it will sell when it crosses down. For a short you can set a custom lower band which it will short when it crosses down and the custom lower band exit which it will exit the short when it crosses up. Be sure to enter slippage and commission into the properties to give you realistic results.
I've also built in backtesting date ranges and the ability to trade only within certain times of day and have it close all trades at the end of that time frame. This is especially useful for day trading stocks. If you check off "Enter First Trade ASAP" then when using the time frame option it will enter the current trade. If however you uncheck that box and instead check off "Wait To Enter First Trade" it will wait for the trend to change and then enter.
You can also specify a % based take profit and stop loss. Also keep in mind that if you have "Enter First Trade ASAP" checked off and use the stop loss and/or take profit then it will re-enter the current trend again.
Finally there's custom alert fields so you can send custom alert messages for strategy entry and exit for use with automated trading services. Simply enter your messages in the fields within the strategy properties and then put {{strategy.order.alert_message}} in your alert message body and it will dynamically pull in the appropriate message.
Supertrend StrategyThis Supertrend strategy will allow you to enter a long or short from a supertrend trend change. Both ATR period and ATR multiplier are adjustable. If you check off "Change ATR Calculation Method" it will base the calculation off the sma and give you slightly different results, which may work better depending on the asset. Be sure to enter slippage and commission into the properties to give you realistic results.
I've also built in backtesting date ranges and the ability to trade only within certain times of day and have it close all trades at the end of that time frame. This is especially useful for day trading stocks. If you check off "Enter First Trade ASAP" then when using the time frame option it will enter the current trade. If however you uncheck that box and instead check off "Wait To Enter First Trade" it will wait for the trend to change and then enter.
You can also specify a % based take profit and stop loss. In most cases the stop loss is not needed because of the atr based stop that supertrend provides so you could check only take profit and see if it works best to take profit or to let supertrend trend change get you out. Also keep in mind that if you have "Enter First Trade ASAP" checked off and use the stop loss and/or take profit then it will re-enter the current trend again.
Finally there's custom alert fields so you can send custom alert messages for strategy entry and exit for use with automated trading services. Simply enter your messages in the fields within the strategy properties and then put {{strategy.order.alert_message}} in your alert message body and it will dynamically pull in the appropriate message.
Wunderbit HRT BotWunderbit HRT is a proprietary indicator designed to find pivot points in the cryptocurrency market.
Working timeframes from 30 minutes and above.
The indicator is designed to create automated trading strategies using a webhook.
To create a cryptocurrency robot for this indicator, you need:
1. Create alerts and bind the URL to the webhook.
2. Link the Tradingview indicator to automation services.
For signals, alerts are used: LONG and SHORT
Recommendations for the indicator:
1. Use DSA technology for automation.
2. Be sure to disable the "multiple inputs" function.
3. Use an indicator with oscillators or MACD to confirm the entry point.
Up/Down Strategy - ContrarianThis is a consecutive bar up/down strategy for going long when the short condition is met or going short when the long condition is met. This is known in trading as taking contrarian signals and is helpful when an asset can provide only losses with a given strategy. In theory taking the opposing trade should produce a profit. With this strategy you can specify how many bars down to enter long and how many bars up to enter short. It also has code to check and make sure the condition is still true when launching the official alert, which helps back testing and live results line up, however be sure to enter commission and slippage into the properties to accurately reflect profits. I added back testing date ranges to this so you can easily pull up and see back tested results for a certain date range. I also added a buy and sell messages, close messages and take profit/stop loss message fields in the properties so you can launch alerts that will work with automated trading services. Simply enter your messages into those fields in the properties and then when you create an alert enter {{strategy.order.alert_message}} into the alert body and it will dynamically pull in your buy and sell messages when it fires alerts. I also added time restriction so you can enter trades only during the time frame specified. You can change it to any time frame, such at 0930-1600. Set the time restriction field to empty by default since otherwise the strategy won't take all trades like normal. So to enable time restriction enter a time frame in the format 0000-0000. I also added the ability to check off a box that will close the open trade at the end of the time restriction. So if you set the time frame to 0930-1600 and check off to enable close trade at end of time frame then it will look to exit the trade at the close of the next bar.
HPH's SuperKeltnerThis indicator combines the Supertrend (to determine the main trend direction) with two Keltner channels (used for add and take profit signals) to construct a trend trading system.
These are the available settings:
General
UseTrendChange ➞ toggle trend change alerts and labels
UseAdds ➞ toggle add to position alerts and labels
UseTakeProfits ➞ toggle take profit alerts and labels
PrematureAdds ➞ toggle adding to position as soon as the add channels are left (default is false, so the add signal will only fire once the channels are re-entered)
PrematureTakeProfits ➞ toggle taking profit as soon as the tp channels are left (default is false, so the tp signal will only fire once the channels are re-entered)
Visualization
Show Add Keltner ➞ toggle display of the channels used for adding to the position
Show TP Keltner ➞ toggle display of the channels used for taking profit
Show SuperTrend ➞ toggle display of the Supertrend
Keltner
Standard Keltner channels settings except for the fact that there are two different multipliers. The Keltner TP Multiplier should generally be bigger than the Keltner Add Multiplier , as the channels are hit differently in trending markets. I recommend you to use the visualization settings to show the channels and adjust the settings to your liking.
Supertrend
Standard Supertrend settings, nothing to add here.
Alerts
Use the alert messages to customize what alert text the indicator will send. This makes it possible to use the script to automate trading bots.
By default, the alerts are sent after the candle has closed. This ensures that no repainting is happening. If you like the risk, you can toggle the corresponding WaitFor Confirmation if you wish to receive the signals earlier (max. once per bar).
Enjoy!
Portfolio Backtester Engine█ OVERVIEW
Portfolio Backtester Engine (PBTE). This tool will allow you to backtest strategies across multiple securities at once. Allowing you to easier understand if your strategy is robust. If you are familiar with the PineCoders backtesting engine , then you will find this indicator pleasant to work with as it is an adaptation based on that work. Much of the functionality has been kept the same, or enhanced, with some minor adjustments I made on the account of creating a more subjectively intuitive tool.
█ HISTORY
The original purpose of the backtesting engine (`BTE`) was to bridge the gap between strategies and studies . Previously, strategies did not contain the ability to send alerts, but were necessary for backtesting. Studies on the other hand were necessary for sending alerts, but could not provide backtesting results . Often, traders would have to manage two separate Pine scripts to take advantage of each feature, this was less than ideal.
The `BTE` published by PineCoders offered a solution to this issue by generating backtesting results under the context of a study(). This allowed traders to backtest their strategy and simultaneously generate alerts for automated trading, thus eliminating the need for a separate strategy() script (though, even converting the engine to a strategy was made simple by the PineCoders!).
Fast forward a couple years and PineScript evolved beyond these issues and alerts were introduced into strategies. The BTE was not quite as necessary anymore, but is still extremely useful as it contains extra features and data not found under the strategy() context. Below is an excerpt of features contained by the BTE:
"""
More than `40` built-in strategies,
Customizable components,
Coupling with your own external indicator,
Simple conversion from Study to Strategy modes,
Post-Exit analysis to search for alternate trade outcomes,
Use of the Data Window to show detailed bar by bar trade information and global statistics, including some not provided by TV backtesting,
Plotting of reminders and generation of alerts on in-trade events.
"""
Before I go any further, I want to be clear that the BTE is STILL a good tool and it is STILL very useful. The Portfolio Backtesting Engine I am introducing is only a tangental advancement and not to be confused as a replacement, this tool would not have been possible without the `BTE`.
█ THE PROBLEM
Most strategies built in Pine are limited by one thing. Data. Backtesting should be a rigorous process and researchers should examine the performance of their strategy across all market regimes; that includes, bullish and bearish markets, ranging markets, low volatility and high volatility. Depending on your TV subscription The Pine Engine is limited to 5k-20k historical bars available for backtesting, which can often leave the strategy results wanting. As a general rule of thumb, strategies should be tested across a quantity of historical bars which will allow for at least 100 trades. In many cases, the lack of historical bars available for backtesting and frequency of the strategy signals produces less than 100 trades, rendering your strategy results inconclusive.
█ THE SOLUTION
In order to be confident that we have a robust strategy we must test it across all market regimes and we must have over 100 trades. To do this effectively, researchers can use the Portfolio Backtesting Engine (PBTE).
By testing a strategy across a carefully selected portfolio of securities, researchers can now gather 5k-20k historical bars per security! Currently, the PTBE allows up to 5 securities, which amounts to 25k-100k historical bars.
█ HOW TO USE
1 — Add the indicator to your chart.
• Confirm inputs. These will be the most important initial values which you can change later by clicking the gear icon ⚙ and opening up the settings of the indicator.
2 — Select a portfolio.
• You will want to spend some time carefully selecting a portfolio of securities.
• Each security should be uncorrelated.
• The entire portfolio should contain a mix of different market regimes.
You should understand that strategies generally take advantage of one particular type of market regime. (trending, ranging, low/high volatility)
For example, the default RSI strategy is typically advantageous during ranging markets, whereas a typical moving average crossover strategy is advantageous in trending markets.
If you were to use the standard RSI strategy during a trending market, you might be selling when you should be buying.
Similarily, if you use an SMA crossover during a ranging market, you will find that the MA's may produce many false signals.
Even if you build a strategy that is designed to be used only in a trending market, it is still best to select a portfolio of all market regimes
as you will be able to test how your strategy will perform when the market does something unexpected.
3 — Test a built-in strategy or add your own.
• Navigate to gear icon ⚙ (settings) of strategy.
• Choose your options.
• Select a Main Entry Strat and Alternate Entry Strat .
• If you want to add your own strategy, you will need to modify the source code and follow the built-in example.
• You will only need to generate (buy 1 / sell -1/ neutral 0) signals.
• Select a Filter , by default these are all off.
• Select an Entry Stop - This will be your stop loss placed at the trade entry.
• Select Pyamiding - This will allow you to stack positions. By default this is off.
• Select Hard Exits - You can also think of these as Take Profits.
• Let the strategy run and take note of the display tables results.
• Portfolio - Shows each security.
• The strategy runs on each asset in your portfolio.
• The initial capital is equally distributed across each security.
So if you have 5 securities and a starting capital of 100,000$ then each security will run the strategy starting with 20,000$
The total row will aggregate the results on a bar by bar basis showing the total results of your initial capital.
• Net Profit (NP) - Shows profitability.
• Number of Trades (#T) - Shows # of trades taken during backtesting period.
• Typically will want to see this number greater than 100 on the "Total" row.
• Average Trade Length (ATL) - Shows average # of days in a trade.
• Maximum Drawdown (MD ) - Max peak-to-valley equity drawdown during backtesting period.
• This number defines the minimum amount of capital required to trade the system.
• Typically, this shouldn’t be lower than 34% and we will want to allow for at least 50% beyond this number.
• Maximum Loss (ML) - Shows largest loss experienced on a per-trade basis.
• Normally, don’t want to exceed more than 1-2 % of equity.
• Maximum Drawdown Duration (MDD) - The longest duration of a drawdown in equity prior to a new equity peak.
• This number is important to help us psychologically understand how long we can expect to wait for a new peak in account equity.
• Maximum Consecutive Losses (MCL) - The max consecutive losses endured throughout the backtesting period.
• Another important metric for trader psychology, this will help you understand how many losses you should be prepared to handle.
• Profit to Maximum Drawdown (P:MD) - A ratio for the average profit to the maximum drawdown.
• The higher the ratio is, the better. Large profits and small losses contribute to a good PMD.
• This metric allows us to examine the profit with respect to risk.
• Profit Loss Ratio (P:L) - Average profit over the average loss.
• Typically this number should be higher in trend following systems.
• Mean reversion systems show lower values, but compensate with a better win %.
• Percent Winners (% W) - The percentage of winning trades.
• Trend systems will usually have lower win percentages, since statistically the market is only trending roughly 30% of the time.
• Mean reversion systems typically should have a high % W.
• Time Percentage (Time %) - The amount of time that the system has an open position.
• The more time you are in the market, the more you are exposed to market risk, not to mention you could be using that money for something else right?
• Return on Investment (ROI) - Your Net Profit over your initial investment, represented as a percentage.
• You want this number to be positive and high.
• Open Profit (OP) - If the strategy has any open positions, the floating value will be represented here.
• Trading Days (TD) - An important metric showing how many days the strategy was active.
• This is good to know and will be valuable in understanding how long you will need to run this strategy in order to achieve results.
█ FEATURES
These are additional features that extend the original `BTE` features.
- Portfolio backtesting.
- Color coded performance results.
- Circuit Breakers that will stop trading.
- Position reversals on exit. (Simulating the function of always in the market. Similar to strategy.entry functionality)
- Whipsaw Filter
- Moving Average Filter
- Minimum Change Filter
- % Gain Equity Exit
- Popular strategies, (MACD, MA cross, supertrend)
Below are features that were excluded from the original `BTE`
- 2 stage in-trade stops with kick-in rules (This was a subjective decision to remove. I found it to be complex and thwarted my use of the `BTE` for some time.)
- Simple conversion from Study to Strategy modes. (Not possible with multiple securities)
- Coupling with your own external indicator (Not really practical to use with multiple securities, but could be used if signals were generated based on some indicator which was not based on the current chart)
- Use of the Data Window to show detailed bar by bar trade information and global statistics.
- Post Exit Analysis.
- Plotting of reminders and generation of alerts on in-trade events.
- Alerts (These may be added in the future by request when I find the time.)
█ THANKS
The whole PineCoders team for all their shared knowledge and original publication of the BTE and Richard Weismann for his ideas on building robust strategies.
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Equilibriums -- Based on Ichimoku Kinko HyoIntro:
Hello dear traders. Lately I have been studying Ichimoku for trading. Personaly I find myself in a long lasting quest of creating an automated trading strategy that works.
Let me tell you it aint easy. On this route I made countless of indicators some of which are worthless, others that have some potential. I did not publish these indicators as I do not want to bother people with sub par indicators that waste your time. My belief is strong and some day I will probably succeed in creating a working strategy.
About the indicator:
While researching Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (thanks chaostrader69 for providing such invaluable knowledge) I came across the numbers that define ichimoku. The Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen lines and even the cloud are based on these numbers and create market equilibrium. The market always wants to return to this equilibrium. As a pine scripter and curious individual I made this indicator to expand the Tenkan and Kijun lines to more of these ichimoku number periods.
Ofcourse this creates a mess of an indicator especialy when combined with the real ichimoku which is already too much info to grasp and apply correctly for most traders. I can not recommend any strategy with this indicator and that is why I want to deliver this simple script to the public. Opinions and trading theorys regarding these lines are very welcome.
As you can see by the chart on the publication of this script the lines where nice and open and not crossing eachother in a clear uptrend. While when it was trading sideways the lines did not show direction at all and where close to eachother and crossing. Thx for taking the time to read this and possibly giving feedback. Feedback on the colors/line thickness is also welcome as I want my indicators to be beautiful!
